US Natural Gas market and Price Forecast

NYMEX Henry Hub, Residuals, Strips, Production, LNG and more!

Although few in the market could have predicted the extent that natural gas prices would escalate in the summer of 2021, our fundamental expectations were spot on. Available for download today!

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The Latest Market Fundamentals

The market has change dramatically in 2021.Get updated on all of the latest market fundamentals impacting the price of natural gas. Supply, demand, storage, exports, LNG and more.

Hear from Our 30 Year Veterans

Get actionable insights from our tenured analysts who have helped our clients effectively hedge since the inception of natural gas futures.

Pricing Dynamics and Technicals

Forward curves, storage deviations and managed money positions are all stacked up against price for an in depth look at the market. Scroll down to view a full list of what s included.

 

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What’s Inside

  • 2021 Natural Gas Forecast Reflection: What Has Changed

  • Supply, Demand, and Storage

  • US LNG Exports Overview and Capacity¸

  • Global LNG Dynamics Europe, Americas, Asia, Middle East

  • International Prices and Arbitrage Natural Gas Benchmarks and LNG Netbacks

  • International Effects on Domestic Markets

  • US Exports to Mexico

  • Summer Power Generation Review

  • Fuel Switching Analysis and Trends

  • US Energy Generation Breakdown and Shifts

  • US Capacity Retirements and Additions

  • US Dry Gas Production By Region and Outlook

  • Permian and Haynesville Well NPV and Payback Period Analysis

  • Oil Price and Storage Analysis COVID impacts

  • Natural Gas Production Metrics DUC Wells and Rig Count Analysis

  • Shifts in Domestic Supply Since Mid 2020

  • Winter Weather Forecast and Impacts

  • Injection Season Recap and Forecast

  • US Gas Storage Outlook, Residuals Analysis

  • Withdrawal Season Forecast Multi Scenario Analysis

  • Pricing Dynamics and Technicals

  • NYMEX Natural Gas Forward Curves

  • Price Relationship To Storage Deviations versus Price

  • Market Sentiment Via Trader Commitments

  • Managed Money Position by Percentage Long or Short

  • Net Position versus Price

  • Evaluating Well Production and Regional NPV

  • Inflated Basis Risks Natural Gas Historical and Forward Prices

  • Rolling Winter Strips

  • Energy Transition Impacts on Natural Gas, Producer Investments and Targets

  • Key Conclusions of the 2022 Natural Gas Price Forecast

  • 2022 Natural Gas Price Forecast NYMEX Front Month


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More than 30 Years In Energy

Gelber’s philosophy is to sit on your side of the table, drawing on a unique combination of risk assessment, trading acumen, and market access, to create and deliver effective energy solutions. The well renowned natural gas price forecast gives an 18 month forward view of daily front month NYMEX Henry Hub price. The Forecast is used by consumer and producers to make hedging and strategic decisions, as well as by banks to establish their price decks for the loan portfolios. The Price Forecast is issued twice per year: once in the autumn before winter and once in the spring before summer. You can purchase either forecast individually or save money and get early access by subscribing.

 

Don’t Just Take Our Word For It.

Gelber & Associates’ Natural Gas Forecasts kept us prepared for the unexpected February 2021 cold snap. When gas supply was diverted from industrial uses to human needs requirements, Gelber helped us identify certain fixed price contracts that could be eliminated and repositioned us during more favorable times with fixed priced contracts that continue to perform well.

Kristy Carver
Senior Vice President

Our team loves collaborating with Gelber & Associates to discuss the gas market. G&A’s guidance is one of the key inputs in our decision making process. Our positioning is very strong thanks to the teamwork between our staff and G&A’s team.

Ray Crooks

Director, Utility Business Affairs

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